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HODL Strategy or Fantasy? 480 Million Crypto Market Simulations and the Macro-Sentiment Effect
Is waiting enough?
Crypto’s simplest promise is to buy, wait, and win. Held two to three years, the middle of the random draws finished 28.4 percentage points behind a Treasury bill, and the best quarter of those same draws averaged 1,326.7 points ahead. We ran 480 million holds to find that out: seven baskets that hold one named token throughout, and one that just picks a coin out of 378.
See what the waiting paid